世界杯夺冠竞猜:德国队夺冠概率24%

时间:2018-10-21 07:39:22,耗时: -0.249647 秒

世界杯夺冠竞猜:德国队夺冠概率24%

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俄罗斯世界杯即将在下个月拉开帷幕,来自美国的《露天体育看台》也给出了一篇报道,这家媒体晒出瑞银集团模型基于10000种模拟预测了本届世界杯各队夺冠赔率。其中卫冕冠军德国队的夺冠概率为24%,高居首位,而巴西以19.8%的赔率位居第二位。

德国

德国队是上届世界杯的冠军球队,而在世预赛中也是十连胜出线,从目前德国队的实力看,球队阵容深度厚,每个位置都几乎有两名世界级的球星压阵。虽然中锋位置上,戈麦斯以维尔纳实力并非世界顶级,但是在强大的中场的支持下,德国队整体进攻依旧被看好。

德国

瑞银集团模型基于10000种模拟,使用了通常用于分析投资机会的计量经济学工具对本届世界杯进行预测,德国获得世界杯的概率为24%,位居首位。而从德国的实力以及分组赛程看,瑞银集团模型的预测也有一定的道理。

巴西

德国小组对手实力较弱,小组头名出线可能很大,在1/8淘汰赛阶段可能遇到的对手是哥斯达黎加或者是瑞士,这两支球队不会给德国造成太大的威胁。在1/4决赛的赛场上,德国所面临的对手很有可能是来自于G组的两强比利时以及英格兰中的一个,虽然两队实力不俗,但是经验与德国相比差距较大。在半决赛的赛场上,德国战车可能遇到的是葡萄牙、西班牙、阿根廷这样的强敌,一旦杀入决赛,德国的决赛对手就很可能是巴西,而对战巴西,德国拥有信心优势,毕竟上届世界杯7-1大胜了桑巴军团。

阿根廷

同时,在夺冠概率榜上,位居第二的是巴西,桑巴军团在世预赛中发挥高光,是第一个获得世界杯资格的球队,同时队内拥有内马尔这位可以比肩C罗梅西的球员,因此夺冠概率也非高,达到19.8%。西班牙队以16.1%的概率位居第三,而英格兰队则以8.5% 的概率位居第四。

葡萄牙

法国实力强大,队内球星云集,虽然实力不俗,但是法国阵中缺少核心球员,因此这也是法国的劣势,夺冠概率仅为7.3%,位居第五位。

夺冠概率:

第一:德国24%

第二:巴西19.8%

第三:西班牙16.1%

第四:英格兰8.5%

第五:法国7.3%

第六:比利时5.3%

第七:阿根廷 4.9%

第八:葡萄牙 3.1%

第九:乌拉圭、瑞士、墨西哥 1.8%

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City of stars Are you shining just for me? City of stars There's so much that I can't see  Who knows?  I felt it from the first embrace I shared with you  That now our dreams They've finally come true City of stars Just one thing everybody wants  There in the bars

And through the smokescreen of the crowded restaurants  It's love Yes, all we're looking for is love from someone else

A rush  A glance  A touch A dance  To look in somebody's eyes  To light up the skies

To open the world and send them reeling A voice that says, I'll be here  And you'll be alright  I don't care if I know

City of stars Are you shining just for me? City of stars There's so much that I can't see  Who knows?  I felt it from the first embrace I shared with you  That now our dreams They've finally come true City of stars Just one thing everybody wants  There in the bars

And through the smokescreen of the crowded restaurants  It's love Yes, all we're looking for is love from someone else

A rush  A glance  A touch A dance  To look in somebody's eyes  To light up the skies

To open the world and send them reeling A voice that says, I'll be here  And you'll be alright  I don't care if I know